Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 17.005771 19.343461 21.990612 25.231817 29.122903 33.681449 39.481727
2025-08-17 13.709647 16.587507 20.126824 24.872380 31.182530 39.454040 51.411884
2025-08-24 11.876509 14.961375 18.969389 24.690163 32.873963 44.539926 63.184651
2025-08-31 10.426941 13.534843 17.742909 24.045773 33.600159 48.188352 73.588042
2025-09-07 9.432325 12.558147 16.942401 23.791007 34.723778 52.503302 86.090517
2025-09-14 8.400238 11.397975 15.715814 22.681368 34.259361 54.063030 94.084489
2025-09-21 7.525508 10.371604 14.562291 21.507940 33.457684 54.814993 100.661003
2025-09-28 6.914842 9.675607 13.829132 20.899820 33.493093 57.035176 110.880129
2025-10-05 7.099996 10.189201 15.008211 23.595368 39.840513 72.752607 157.457524
2025-10-12 6.888929 10.062155 15.139833 24.488526 42.971705 82.755647 195.124883
2025-10-19 6.406620 9.461243 14.427873 23.763951 42.754745 85.294784 213.305949
2025-10-26 6.215990 9.317910 14.472635 24.443843 45.550187 95.600347 260.978303
2025-11-02 5.848429 8.869306 13.975631 24.079311 46.159882 101.022729 297.312659
2025-11-09 5.516302 8.457896 13.511287 23.729502 46.763606 106.703387 339.370269
2025-11-16 5.242792 8.125911 13.158804 23.558630 47.749836 113.778315 393.442887
2025-11-23 4.935946 7.714922 12.627072 22.952213 47.578179 117.447497 435.864806
2025-11-30 4.703680 7.419717 12.286902 22.712391 48.282540 124.095487 500.660820
2025-12-07 4.390794 6.962675 11.607969 21.667289 46.744993 123.060788 522.546392
2025-12-14 4.094150 6.519778 10.928803 20.561119 44.895263 120.552005 534.416632
2025-12-21 3.881917 6.218867 10.505068 19.987442 44.402996 122.706258 579.945645
2025-12-28 4.029946 6.582978 11.405510 22.528194 53.065826 162.147001 973.193891
2026-01-04 3.981511 6.578214 11.568911 23.368890 57.057926 185.874966 1316.915691
2026-01-11 3.787337 6.286985 11.125917 22.686919 56.246133 188.408035 1440.132105